Belmont Stakes Predictions, Best Bets, Exotics & Best Longshots

Jun 6, 2024; Saratoga Springs, NY, USA; Belmont stakes contender Sierra Leone trains Thursday morning at the Oklahoma Training track. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY SportsThe Belmont Stakes runs at Saratoga Race Course on Saturday, June 8Sierra Leone and Mystik Dan, the two horses that placed at the Kentucky Derby, are among the favoritesSee the odds to win the 2024 Belmont Stakes as well as expert picks and predictions

The 156th running of the Belmont Stakes will be at a different location. Due to renovations at Belmont Park, the Belmont Stakes will take place at Saratoga Race Course for the next two years.

Even though there is no chance for a Triple Crown winner, there are many talented horses in the field that should make the 2024 Belmont Stakes an entertaining race. There are many different horse racing bet types, so whether you have bet on horse racing before or want to learn more, be sure to check out our updated guide. I will look at multiple ways you can bet on the Belmont Stakes and give you my best bets and predictions under the table. The table details the odds and post position for all ten horses in the 2024 field.

2024 Belmont Stakes Odds

Odds as of June 7th, 2024 at TwinSpires.

The Belmont Stakes odds list Sierra Leone as the 9-5 favorite to win in 2024. Sierra Leone placed at the Kentucky Derby and did not run at the Preakness Stakes. A $20 wager on Sierra Leone to win would win $36 and result in a payout of $56. Mindframe has the second-best odds at 7-2, and even though the horse is inexperienced, he has a lot of talent. Kentucky Derby winner and Preakness runner-up, Mystik Dan, is not far behind the other two.

Best Belmont Stakes Bets

Sierra Leone should be a popular ticket to win the Belmont Stakes on Saturday. He has gotten first or second in all five of his starts. He won three of those five and finished in second place in the other two starts, including his last race at the Kentucky Derby. Even among the other favorites, Sierra Leone sticks out.

The horse is experienced unlike Mindframe, who only has two starts under his belt, and is well-rested unlike Mystik Dan, who is the first horse since 2019 to run in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, and Belmont Stakes in its traditional five-week time frame. So while Mystik Dan has run well in the two other races, fatigue is something to consider.

It is not always fun to bet on the favorite, but Sierra Leone is that good and has everything you look for in a winning horse. Sierra Leone had the second-best odds to win the Kentucky Derby and ended up coming in second. The winners at the Belmont Stakes recently have all had shorter odds to win. Since 2020, the four winners have all been in the top three in odds on the morning line. It is hard to bet against a horse with that kind of pedigree and history.

Best Belmont Stakes Bet: Sierra Leone to win (9-5)

2024 Belmont Stakes Longshot Picks

While Sierra Leone is the favorite and most likely horse to win, it would not be horse racing if you do not look at the longshots. Even if longshots have not done particularly well at the Belmont Stakes of late, there is a horse that is worth a sprinkle due to the potential payout.

Out of the No. 5 post position, Antiquarian is making his Triple Crown race debut. Antiquarian is fresh off a first-place finish at the Peter Pan Stakes and comes into the 2024 Belmont Stakes with 12-1 odds. The winner of that race has won the Belmont Stakes four times including last year’s winner, Arcangelo.

In four starts, Antiquarian finished in second place, first place, sixth place, and first place. It was great to see the horse bounce back and win after a rough finish at the Louisiana Derby. His trainer, Todd Pletcher has already won the Belmont Stakes four times, so he will be looking for win number five on Saturday. At 12-1 odds, Antiquarian is a horse that has a shot at being in the mix at the end of the race, so he is worth a longshot bet.

Best Belmont Stakes Longshot Pick: Antiquarian (12-1)

Best Belmont Stakes Exotic Bets

One of the most popular types of wagers in horse racing are exotic bets such as exactas, trifectas, and superfectas. These bets require you to pick the finishing order of the race correctly. These types of wagers give bettors the opportunity for large payouts, which is why they are appealing. In straight exotic bets, you need to correctly pick which horse finishes first, second, third, etc, which is a tall task. That is why many bettors opt for exotic boxes where you pick which horses will finish at the top, but the order does not matter.

Sierra Leone will be making my trifecta box for the 2024 Belmont Stakes. Just one more point in Sierra Leone’s favor is that his trainer, Chad Brown, is a Saratoga native and knows this track very well. Antiquarian should also be in the running at the end, so I like for him to finish in the top three. Then for the third horse, I will pick one who is coming off back to back wins: Seize the Grey.

Seize the Grey was my favorite longshot pick to win the Preakness Stakes, and that is exactly what he did. The horse is trained by Hall of Famer, D Wayne Lukas and won the 2024 Pat Day Mile before winning the Preakness. Seize the Grey is also running from the #1 post position which has the most wins in Belmont Stakes history. At 8-1 odds, he is not a bad horse to bet on, but instead of betting him to strictly to win, I will throw him in my trifecta box.

Best Belmont Stakes Exotic Pick: 9-5-1 Trifecta Box

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