Colombia vs Panama Odds, Predictions & Projected Lineups – Copa America Quarterfinal
by Brady Trettenero in Soccer News
Updated Jul 5, 2024 · 4:51 PM PDT
Jul 2, 2024; Santa Clara, CA, USA; Colombia defender Daniel Munoz (21) is congratulated by forward Luis Diaz (7) after scoring a goal against Brazil during the first half at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY SportsColombia puts their 26-match unbeaten run on the line against Panama in the Copa America 2024 quarterfinals on SaturdayLos Cafeteros are -320 moneyline favorites to advance to the semis for the third time in four tournamentsBelow, get our Colombia vs Panama picks, predictions and projected lineups for July 6
Heavy favorites Colombia clash with surprise package Panama in the 2024 Copa America quarterfinals on Saturday, July 6 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
Colombia topped Group D with two wins and a draw, extending their unbeaten run to 26 matches. Panama finished second in Group C after a shocking 2-1 upset of the United States.
The Colombia vs Panama odds have Los Cafeteros as -320 favorites to advance inside 90 minutes. Panama are huge +900 underdogs with the draw priced at +400.
Colombia vs Panama Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia | -320 | Over 2.5 (-118) |
| Panama | +900 | Under 2.5 (-105) |
| Draw | +400 | N/A |
Odds as of July 5 at Caesars Sportsbook. Check the Caesars promo code to bet on Colombia vs Panama.
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Colombia are massive -320 moneyline favorites, implying a 76.2% chance of victory in 90 minutes. Meanwhile, Panama’s +900 price equates to just a 10% win probability. The odds also suggest this match will be low-scoring, with Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at -105.
Colombia are -300 favorites to reach the semis, with Panama at +240. There’s no relevant head-to-head history between these nations, who haven’t met since 2007 (0-0 friendly draw).
Colombia Recent Results
| Opponent | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil | D 1-1 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Costa Rica | W 3-0 | Jun 21, 2024 |
| Paraguay | W 2-1 | Jun 17, 2024 |
Colombia capped an unbeaten Group D run with an impressive 1-1 draw against heavyweight Brazil. James Rodriguez and Luis Diaz led a dynamic attack that created the most crosses (49) and had the highest crossing accuracy (41%) of any team in the group stage.
Los Cafeteros have now gone 26 matches without a loss, with 17 wins and nine draws over that span. They’ve outscored opponents 18-5 over their last seven fixtures.
Panama Recent Results
| Opponent | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivia | W 3-1 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| USA | W 2-1 | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Uruguay | L 1-3 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Panama are into the Copa America quarters for the first time thanks to a massive 2-1 upset of the USA. However, their suspect defense that’s conceded 1.6 goals per game was exposed in the group stage, especially in a 3-1 loss to Uruguay.
Los Canaleros have been a high-variance team of late, losing four and winning six of their last 10 matches overall. They’ve scored in eight straight but have just one clean sheet in their last five outings.
Colombia vs Panama Projected Lineups
| Colombia | Panama |
|---|---|
| Vargas (GK) | Mosquera (GK) |
| Munoz (RB) | Murillo (RB) |
| Sanchez (CB) | Farina (CB) |
| Cuesta (CB) | Cordoba (CB) |
| Mojica (LB) | Davis (LB) |
| Rios (CM) | Blackman (RM) |
| Uribe (CM) | Martinez (CM) |
| Arias (CM) | Welch (CM) |
| Rodriguez (RW) | Barcenas (LM) |
| Cordoba (ST) | Fajardo (ST) |
| Diaz (LW) | Guerrero (ST) |
Colombia will be without key central midfielder Jefferson Lerma, who is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Expect the experienced Mateus Uribe to slide into Lerma’s spot in the engine room alongside defensive shield Rios and the more attack-minded Jhon Arias.
Orgulloso de este equipo que siempre buscó más y tiró para adelante. Primer objetivo cumplido; a cuartos ganando el grupo. SIGAMOS PASO A PASO 🙏🏽🇨🇴🏆. pic.twitter.com/eVaydHzP9N
— Jefferson Lerma (@jeffersonlerma) July 3, 2024
Panama, meanwhile, are still missing captain and midfield fulcrum Adalberto Carrasquilla, who serves the second of a two-match ban stemming from his red card against the USA. In his absence, Cristian Martinez and Jovani Welch will continue their central midfield partnership.
Colombia vs Panama Prediction
Colombia have too much talent and continuity for Panama over 90 minutes. Even without Lerma, Los Cafeteros’ squad is stacked with difference-makers.
Liverpool star Luis Diaz scored in the 3-0 win over Costa Rica and has been involved in three goals over his last six Colombia caps. With ex-Real Madrid man James Rodriguez conducting the attack, look for Diaz (+163) to score on Saturday against a Panama defense that’s allowed 1.6 goals per game at this Copa America.
Stop that Luis Diaz. pic.twitter.com/8XVR9AhHVA
— Stop That Football (@stopthatfooty) June 28, 2024
While Panama can score, their high-variance form and leaky defense will ultimately cost them. Colombia’s pedigree and big-game chops will prove the difference in Arizona.
It likely won’t be a rout, but Colombia (-320) will do enough to keep their unbeaten run going and punch their semifinal ticket. Backing Colombia to win and Under 2.5 goals (+195) is a nice way to extract more value out of this match.
COL vs PAN picks:
Colombia to win (-320)Colombia wins and Under 2.5 goals (+195)Luis Diaz anytime goal scorer (+163)
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