Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Player Props, Odds & Picks for March 6
by Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Updated Mar 7, 2024 · 6:25 AM PST
Jan 13, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) looks for an outlet against Golden State Warriors forward Trayce Jackson-Davis (32) in the second half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-USA TODAY SportsWith Giannis Antetokounmpo questionable to play, the Milwaukee Bucks are road underdogs at Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors tonightGolden State was blasted 140-88 at Boston last time out, while Milwaukee has won an NBA-best six in a rowSee the Bucks vs Warriors player props, odds, and picks for Wednesday’s game at the Chase Center
Coming off one of the worst losses in franchise history, the Golden State Warriors (32-28, 16-15 home, ATS) return to the Bay Area, starting a three-game homestand against the shorthanded Milwaukee Bucks (41-21, 16-14 away, ATS).
Tip-off between the Bucks and Warriors is scheduled for 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. With Khris Middleton out and Giannis Antetokounmpo questionable due to an Achilles injury, the Warriors are listed as 3.5-point home favorites.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | +3.5 (-110) | +140 | Over 227.5 (-105) |
| Golden State Warriors | -3.5 (-110) | -168 | Under 227.5 (-115) |
Wednesday’s NBA odds also listed Golden State as a -168 moneyline favorite over Milwaukee, with the Bucks at +140 to win straight-up.
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Odds as of March 6 at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM North Carolina promo ahead of launch on March 11.
After Sunday’s embarrassing 140-88 loss at Boston, the Warriors fell to the #10 seed in the Western Conference in the NBA playoff bracket, half a game behind the #9 LA Lakers and three behind the #6 Phoenix Suns. Milwaukee still holds the #2 seed in the East but is 7.5 games back of top-seeded Boston.
Warriors Crushed by Celtics to End Win Streak
Golden State had started its recent four-game road trip with three straight wins over Washington (123-112), New York (110-89), and Toronto (120-105) but didn’t show up for the finale against the league-leading Celtics. The Warriors trailed by 22 points after the first quarter and it only got worse from there. They entered halftime down 44 points and wound up on the business end of a 52-point defeat, the fourth-worst in franchise history.
Steph Curry finished the game with just four points on 2-of-13 shooting from the field and an imperfect 0-of-9 from three. That marked the first time since a Jan. 7 loss to Toronto that the league’s most-prolific three-point shooter failed to hit a single triple.
The Boston debacle dropped Golden State all the way from ninth in O-Rating to 13th (116.8), while their D-Rating dropped from 17th to 18th (115.7).
The only previous meeting this season between the Bucks and Warriors ended in a 128-119 win for the Bucks in Milwaukee. Neither Curry nor Draymond Green played in the first meeting, though.
2024 NBA Defensive Player of the Year Odds TrackerRead More
Herculean Fourth-Quarter Effort vs Clippers Extends Bucks’ Win Streak
Without Giannis, it looked for three quarters as if the Bucks’ five game win streak was coming to an end against the Clippers on Monday. LA took an eight-point lead into the fourth and Milwaukee had only managed 73 points in the first 36 minutes. That’s when Damian Lillard played arguably his best quarter of basketball since joining the Bucks in the offseason.
Lillard spurred his team to a 40-25 fourth quarter, finishing with a game-high 41 points on 12-of-22 shooting and a perfect 13-of-13 performance from the stripe.
It remains to be seen whether Giannis will be in Wednesday’s NBA lineups. He took warmups against the Clippers but was held out when he showed discomfort in his left Achilles.
Khris Middleton (14.8 PPG, 5.0 APG, 4.3 RPG) has already been ruled out with an ankle injury. Jae Crowder (6.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG) is probable with a knee contusion.
Bucks vs Warriors Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins (GSW) | 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -190) |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 9.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 5.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 6.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) | 1.5 (Ov +170 | Un -220) |
| Damian Lillard (MIL) | 25.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 4.5 (Ov +114 | Un -145) | 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 2.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 6.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 4.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135) | 0.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) | 31.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 0.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
| Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) | 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 0.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180) |
| Steph Curry (GSW) | 27.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
Player props from DraftKings on March 6. Claim a DraftKings North Carolina promo prior to launch in NC on March 11.
Based on the NBA player props for Wednesday, oddsmakers expect Giannis to be at full speed if he’s in the lineup. The Bucks leading scorer is listed with a game-high point total of 31.5 and rebound total of 11.5.
Coming off one of the worst games of his legendary career, Curry is at 27.5, by far the highest of the Warriors player on the board.
Out since Feb. 25 due to personal reasons, Andrew Wiggins (12.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG) is expected to make his return to the Warriors’ lineup tonight.
Bucks vs Warriors Predictions
Golden State’s effort on Sunday was nothing short of pathetic, which was all the more surprising given that they came in winning of 11 of their last 13 and still needing to make up serious ground in the Western Conference playoff race.
It’s hard for me to fade the Bucks, as well as they’re playing at the moment. It’s also concerning that the NBA public betting splits show 59% of ATS handle on the Warriors. (The public is just 425-458 ATS on the season, a 48.1 win percentage.) But with Golden State healthier, more-rested, and the Bucks just 16-14 straight-up on the road this season, I am going to lay the 3.5 with the Dubs.
MIL vs GSW pick: Warriors -3.5 (-110)
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Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:
17-21 moneyline (+4.06 units)18-17-2 ATS (-+0.50 units)7-12 player props (-6.82 units)0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)
All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise
