New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Public Betting and Money Percentages for Thursday Night Football
by Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated Dec 7, 2023 · 4:11 PM PST
Dec 3, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots running back Ezekiel Elliott (15) runs the ball against the Los Angeles Chargers in the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY SportsThere’s support for the favorites among the people in the Patriots vs Steelers public betting and money percentages for their Week 14 TNF gameMoneyline splits are showing 92% of bets backing the 6-point favorites from PittsburghIn spread betting splits, there’s 65% of Patriots vs Steelers public betting handle going with Pittsburgh
There’s been a late turn in the Patriots vs Steelers public money and betting percentages for the Week 14 TNF game between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers. While the 6-point favorite Steelers were drawing the larger share of the moneyline splits, as recently as late Wednesday, spread bettors were leaning toward the underdog Patriots.
That’s no longer the case. Currently, it’s Pittsburgh pulling in the larger percentage of the the people’s action on both spread and moneyline wagering.
With a total that’s shrunk to a meager 30.5 points, the people are divided on which way to go. Handle is heavily weighted to the over, while bettors are backing the under.
Let’s take a detailed look at all the data analyzing how the NFL public betting action is being played in every wagering category for this New England vs Pittsburgh game. Before getting to that, let’s take a look at the current Patriots vs Steelers odds and betting trends for the game as of Thursday morning.
Patriots vs Steelers Betting Percentages
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | +6 | 35% | 49% | 30.5 | 72% | 16% | +210 | 45% | 8% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -6 | 65% | 51% | 30.5 | 28% | 84% | -255 | 55% | 92% |
In the New England vs Pittsburgh picks, the Steelers are -255 moneyline favorites, giving them a 71.83% implied win probability. Kickoff for this game at Acrisure Stadium on Thursday, December 7 is set for 8:15pm ET.
Odds as of December 7 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get the best FanDuel promo code to bet the Patriots vs Steelers game tonight! To watch tonight’s game tune into Prime Video in the United States.
Spread Bettors Slightly With Steelers
The action on the spread splits at the best NFL betting apps is with the Steelers covering as 6-point home favorites, but not overwhelmingly so. Pittsburgh is getting 65% of handle, but just 51% of bets in public action on the NFL point spread.
It’s a Steel City showdown on #TNFonPrime pic.twitter.com/0uYDx7jkqR
— NFL on Prime Video (@NFLonPrime) December 7, 2023
The Patriots are actually 6-2-2 against the spread in the last 10 games against the Steelers. Looking at results with more recency, New England is 0-5 ATS over the club’s past five games and 1-6 ATS through the last seven road games. The Patriots are an NFL-worst 2-10 ATS this season and they are also 2-10 ATS in their past 12 games facing an opponent from the AFC.
The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings with AFC opposition and 11-5 ATS against all opponents over their last 16 games. As a home favorite, Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS this season. As an away underdog, New England is an NFL-low 0-3 ATS.
Total Bettors Displaying Uncertainty
Putting the NFL’s #28 (Pittsburgh) and #32 (New England) total offenses and scoring offenses on the same field isn’t inspiring confidence among oddsmakers that the lights on the scoreboard will be getting much of a workout in this game. Add in the fact that Pittsburgh QB1 Kenny Pickett and New England RB1 Rhamondre Stevenson are both out for this game on the Patriots vs Steelers injury reports, and its leading to a mighty low on the over/under.
Ezekiel Elliott:
“I feel bad for the the guys on the defensive side of the ball.” pic.twitter.com/6OBlS8cuPZ
— Savage (@SavageSports_) December 3, 2023
The total for this game is set as low as 30 points at some online sportsbooks. A total on an NFL game hasn’t gone lower than that since 1993. The betting public, though, remains uncertain on how to play this number. It’s the over getting 72% of the handle, while the under is garnering 84% of bets. Certainly, the key injuries combined with the terrible offenses is also playing havoc when determining how to wager the Patriots vs Steelers player props.
In the past seven New England vs Pittsburgh games, the under has hit six times, including each of the past five games played in Pittsburgh. This season, four of the last five home games played by the Steelers also went under. As well, the under has been the correct play in nine of the last 11 Patriots games.
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Moneyline Bettors Aren’t With Patriots
Losers of five in a row, the Patriots aren’t getting much love from public bettors in the moneyline splits. Only 8% of bettors are backing New England. There’s a warmer embrace on the handle, which is splitting 55-45 in favor of the Steelers.
Pittsburgh is 11-5 straight up over the past 16 games. But the Steelers are just 1-7 SU in the last eight games against AFC East teams and 2-8 SU in the past 10 games facing New England. The Patriots are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against squads from the AFC North.
