Uruguay vs Colombia Predictions, Picks, Best Bets & Odds – Copa America Semifinals (July 10)
by Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Updated Jul 9, 2024 · 7:00 PM PDT
Jun 27, 2024; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; Uruguay forward Darwin Nunez (19) celebrates his goal past Bolivia goalkeeper Guillermo Viscarra (23) during the first half of the Copa America match at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY SportsUruguay and Colombia meet in the semifinals of the 2024 Copa America on Wednesday nightColombia knocked Uruguay out on penalties in the quarterfinals of the 2021 Copa, but each of their last three matches have been full-time drawsSee the Uruguay vs Colombia predictions, odds, and best bets for July 10 in Charlotte, NC
The second semifinal of the 2024 Copa America features arguably the two most-impressive teams of the tournament so far: Uruguay (3-1-0) and Colombia (3-1-0). Wednesday’s game at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC, is a rematch of the quarterfinals from the 2021 Copa America, when Colombia progressed on penalties, 0-0 (4-2). The teams have played two World Cup qualifiers since, both ending in draws as well.
It’s no surprise, then, that the Uruguay vs Colombia odds for July 10 list a full-time draw at just +189, shorter than either a Uruguay or a Colombia victory.
Uruguay vs Colombia Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total | To Advance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | +190 | Over 2.5 (+162) | -110 |
| Colombia | +189 | Under 2.5 (-200) | -110 |
| Draw | +200 | — | — |
The “enhanced moneyline” at bet365 lists Uruguay at +190 to win in 90 minutes and Colombia at +200. Both teams are priced at -110 to advance, however.
The over/under heavily favors under 2.5 goal (-200), with the over at +162.
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With Argentina already advancing to the final after a decisive victory over Canada in the first semifinal on Tuesday, Colombia and Uruguay both enter their own semifinal as relative longshots to win the tournament in the latest 2024 Copa America odds: Uruguay is +275 to lift the trophy with Colombia at +333. Argentina is -138 to win their second straight Copa title.
The recent head-to-head history between Uruguay and Colombia is, as mentioned, very even.
Recent H2H History: Uruguay vs Colombia
| Date | Location | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | Colombia | WC Qual | COL 2-2 URU |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Uruguay | WC Qual | URU 0-0 COL |
| Jul 3, 2021 | Neutral (Brazil) | Copa America | URU 0-0 COL (2-4 PENS) |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Colombia | WC Qual | COL 0-3 URU |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Colombia | WC Qual | COL 2-2 URU |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Uruguay | WC Qual | URU 3-0 COL |
| Jun 28, 2014 | Colombia | World Cup | COL 2-0 URU |
| Sep 10, 2013 | Uruguay | WC Qual | URU 2-0 COL |
| Sep 7, 2012 | Colombia | WC Qual | COL 4-0 URU |
Uruguay and Colombia have played three straight full-time draws since 2021, two which ended scoreless after 90 minutes, including their quarterfinal matchup in the 2021 Copa America.
Prior to that, Uruguay had won two of three by identical 3-0 scores. Overall, they are undefeated against Colombia in regular time since the 2014 World Cup, when Colombia earned a 2-0 victory to advance to the quarterfinals.
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Uruguay vs Colombia Picks & Predictions
All due respect to Argentina, no teams have looked better than Uruguay and Colombia in the 2024 Copa America. Uruguay absolutely blitzed Group C, finishing 3-0-0 with a +8 goal differential before a dreadfully boring 0-0 (4-2 penalties) win over Brazil in the quarters.
It’s clear that Colombia aren’t here to play nil-nil draws. Los Cafeteros scored ten goals in their first four games, including an uncompromising 5-0 win over Panama in the quarterfinals. In the group stage, they beat Costa Rica (5-0) and Paraguay (2-1) before a much more entertaining 1-1 draw with Brazil.
But the unstoppable force that is Colombia’s attack is coming up against the immovable object of Uruguay’s defense. Uruguay has surrendered just one goal in the tournament so far, and it came in the final minute of extra time against Panama when they were already ahead 3-0.
They also kept clean sheets against Mexico and Costa Rica in their final two pre-tournament friendlies, meaning the late tally by Panama is the only goal Uruguay have conceded in the last 540 minutes.
On the whole, I expect Uruguay’s defensive style to win out, literally and figuratively. Uruguay won’t be coerced into a wide-open style of play, and Colombia will be hard-pressed to break through Uruguay’s well-drilled backline.
URU vs COL picks:
Under 0.5 goals (+590 at FanDuel)Uruguay to advance to final (-110 at bet365)
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 Euro/Copa America betting record: 36-20-1 (+18.84 units)All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.
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